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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Equities
  3. S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

EquitiesDaily2d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 57%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$9.2

Liquidity

$8.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

55.0% / 58.0%

Spread

5.5%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 13, 26, 12:00 AMJun 15, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes57%

Rules

If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on June 15, 2026 is above 7431.46, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.

Related Markets

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

$597.9
$720: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?

$518.8
Up: 63%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 15?

$516
Up: 57%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Nasdaq-100 price on Jun 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$390.6
30,700 or above: 5%KalshiKALSHI
S&P price on Jun 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

S&P price on Jun 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

$236.2
7,575 or above: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026

$167.8
5,500.00 or higher?: 96.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,678.83+0.71%BitcoinBTC$64,163.06+0.60%SolanaSOL$68.21+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.28%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877-0.04%BNBBNB$608.10+0.28%

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Rules

If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on June 15, 2026 is above 7431.46, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.