KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- No
- Recorded
- Jul 15, 2026, 10:35 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNo 99%
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29.7K
Liquidity
$23.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJul 11, 26, 12:00 AMJul 13, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $29.7K | $23.4K | 13 days ago | |
 Limitless70% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $4.5K | $0 | 13 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (98.4%)
98.4%
1.6%
25 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$4.5K
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 13, 2026 is above 7575.39, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$29.7kJul 113d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
$8.3KYes: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
Nasdaq-100 price on Jul 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$170.4K28,530 or above: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
S&P price on Jul 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$165K7,475 or above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
$61KUp: 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
$38.3KYes: 46%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
$29.7K$720: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Ether Outpaces Bitcoin as Macro Crosswinds Trap BTC Near $65,000Blockchain Reporter
ALGO Price Prediction: Dead Money Primed for a Flush — $0.06 Is the Real Test NowBlockchain.News
NEAR Price Prediction: $1.76 Before $2.00 — This Bounce Is a Fade Until Bulls Clear $1.91Blockchain.News
Bitcoin is back above $65,000 as U.S. and Iran hold fire. Oil drops 5%Coindesk
Bitcoin price teeters on trendline support after tech liquidation sparks profit-takingCrypto News
Strategy’s STRC tops major ETFs despite trading below $100Crypto NewsRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 13, 2026 is above 7575.39, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.