KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: No (84%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 11:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityNo 84%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.6K
Liquidity
$92
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 43.0%
Spread
24.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJul 1, 26, 12:00 AMJul 1, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
16%
84%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
53.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Down (100%)
+0.5pt100%
-0.5pt0%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$374.2K
24h Vol$174.5K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (60.9%)
60.9%
39.1%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$281.5K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 01, 2026 is above 7499.36, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k87.0%POLYMARKETDownlittleceasers26d ago
POLYMARKETDownlittleceasers26d ago$1.0k26.0%POLYMARKETDown0x06b2…9f3526d ago
POLYMARKETDown0x06b2…9f3526d agoRelated Markets
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
$547Yes: 54%KALSHI
KALSHI
S&P price on Jul 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$18K7,345 or above: 85%KALSHI
KALSHI
Nasdaq-100 price on Jul 28, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$9.4K28,190 or above: 42%KALSHI
KALSHI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 28?
$2.3K$715: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28?
$1.4KUp: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 28?
$1.1KUp: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 01, 2026 is above 7499.36, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.