Current implied probability
Los Angeles 20%-24.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$17.3K
Liquidity
$35.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 23.0%
Spread
21.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 5:28 PMJul 5, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Los Angeles20%
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If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.