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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Weather
  3. May 2026 temperature increase?
May 2026 temperature increase?

May 2026 temperature increase?

63.0% (24h)DailyWeather4d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
1.10 to 1.16
1.10 to 1.16 2%-63.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$271.4

Liquidity

$411.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 27, 26, 2:00 PMJun 16, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

1.10 to 1.162%

Rules

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,657.81+1.93%BitcoinBTC$62,890.13+2.47%SolanaSOL$65.47+2.86%XRPXRP$1.12+0.82%BNBBNB$599.73+2.47%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%

Rules

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for May 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.