KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability1.10 to 1.16 39.5%+8.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$969
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 54.0%
Spread
15.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jun 27, 26, 2:00 PMAug 16, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1.17 to 1.2341%
Volume trend
$969Jul 323d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Aug 2026 temperature increase?
$01.02999 or below: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 27, 2026?
$620K87° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 27, 2026?
$162.5K89° to 90°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 79 F on July 27, 2026?
$89.6KYes: 5%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
$81.2K28°C: 35%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 28?
$79.9K12°C: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rules
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is between 1.04-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jul 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.