Current implied probability
74° to 75° 1%-37.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$54.7K
Liquidity
$35.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 11, 26, 2:00 PMJul 13, 26, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
74° to 75°1%
Volume trend
$54.7kJul 113d of dataJul 13
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Highest temperature in Seattle on Jul 13, 2026?
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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 12, 2026?
$177.9KYes: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on July 12, 2026?
$137KYes: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
$127.5KYes: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActive in these topics
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Jul 12, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISEA can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Seattle-Tacoma, WA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.