Current implied probability
98° or above 4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 4.0%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 2:00 PMJul 14, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
98° or above4%
Volume trend
$2.4kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jul 12, 2026?
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FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 74 F on July 12, 2026?
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 90° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISAT can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Antonio" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.