KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability89° to 90° 95.2%+55.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.4K
Liquidity
$25.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 2:00 PMJul 29, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
87° to 88°1%
Volume trend
$31.4kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for Jul 28, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMSP can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=mpx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Minneapolis/St Paul, MN" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.