Current implied probability
92° to 93° 11%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
12.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 2:00 PMJul 14, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92° to 93°11%
Compare venues· 88° to 89°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | High | 38% | — | $17.1K | $48.6K | 2 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 24% | — | $7.1K | $6.5K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Houston on July 13?
0.1%9h
+9.5%38%
+7.0%31%
-3.0%16%
+8 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$18.1K
24h Vol$17.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$7.1kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 86° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.