Current implied probability
95° or above 2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 2:00 PMJul 14, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
95° or above2%
Compare venues· 86° or below
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 35% | — | $22.9K | $47.2K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 48% | — | $5.8K | $5.1K | 6 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?
2.7%9h
+3.5%35%
+9.0%27%
-1.0%23%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$23.5K
24h Vol$22.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5.8kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 87° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Dallas/Fort Worth, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.