Current implied probability
90° or below 80%+60.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.3K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 80.0%
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 2:00 PMJul 16, 26, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
90° or below80%
Volume trend
$18.3kJul 142d of dataJul 15
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Boston for Jul 15, 2026, is less than 91° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIBOS can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=box, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Boston (Logan Airport), MA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.