Current implied probability
80° or below 9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 8.0%
Spread
60.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 2:00 PMJul 14, 26, 5:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
80° or below9%
Compare venues· 83° to 84°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | Medium | 38% | — | $8.2K | $53.9K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Medium | 47% | — | $6.1K | $4.3K | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?
7.0%5h
+0.5%38%
-4.0%32%
+7.0%18%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.1K
24h Vol$8.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIATL can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Atlanta, GA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$6.1kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Atlanta for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIATL can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Atlanta, GA" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.