Current implied probability
78° or below 1%-6.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$103.5K
Liquidity
$71K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 2:00 PMJul 11, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78° or below1%
Volume trend
$103.5kJul 93d of dataJul 11
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 10, 2026, is less than 79° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 10, 2026, is between 79-80° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.