Current implied probability
92° or above 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.8K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 2:00 PMJul 10, 26, 5:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
92° or above1%
Volume trend
$9.8kJul 82d of dataJul 9
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is less than 84° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is between 84-85° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.