KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Dec 20, 2026 98%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AM UTCNov 22, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Heavenly Mountain Resort conducts Seasonal Opening Operations in the 26/27 winter season the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Heavenly Mountain Resort Snow & Weather Report
- Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on resort-designated open terrain.
- Season-passholder-only access counts if it requires no additional purchase; employee, contractor, invited-media, private-event, and separately purchased early-access or preview days do not.
- Scenic rides, mountain biking, hiking, tubing, and uphill-only access do not count.
- Any number of lifts, any amount of terrain, and any operating duration count.
- The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Time, and announced or projected dates do not count.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $274.9K
- 24h Vol
- $267.9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+43.0pt89.3%
- 94° or above+2.0pt6.8%
- 90° to 91°-36.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt70.9%
- 82° to 83°-15.0pt22.3%
- 79° or below-4.0pt3.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes-7.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $77.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.2K
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season??
- Kalshi prices Before Dec 20, 2026 at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? resolve?
- When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? is scheduled to resolve on November 22, 2026.
- How is When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Heavenly Mountain Resort conducts Seasonal Opening Operations in the 26/27 winter season the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.