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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Motorsport
  3. Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole Position
Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole Position

Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole Position

90.0% (24h)MotorsportOne-OffSports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Andrea Kimi Antonelli (98%)

Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, 9:42 PM

Winning Outcome

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

8%

Surprise
Current implied probability
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 98%+90.0%
Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality

88 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$6.1K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

98.0% / 100.0%

Spread

2.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
Jun 1, 26, 5:36 PMJun 20, 26, 3:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Andrea Kimi Antonelli98%
Charles Leclerc40%
Max Verstappen14%
Lando Norris1%
Lewis Hamilton17%
George Russell7%
Oscar Piastri2%
Isack Hadjar1%
Valtteri Bottas0%
Nico Hulkenberg1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.1%
Pierre Gasly1%
Lance Stroll1%
Fernando Alonso1%
Sergio Perez1%
Oliver Bearman1%
Alexander Albon1%
Esteban Ocon1%
Gabriel Bortoleto1%
Franco Colapinto1%
Liam Lawson1%
Arvid Lindblad1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 5Jun 6Jun 6
Outcome24hChance
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
+90.0%
98%
Charles Leclerc
Charles Leclerc
-48.0%
1%
Max Verstappen
Max Verstappen
-10.0%
1%
Lando Norris
Lando Norris
-3.0%
1%
Lewis Hamilton
Lewis Hamilton
-28.0%
1%
George Russell
George Russell
-7.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Oscar Piastri set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification.
  • If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event.
  • Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official Final Qualifying Classification and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position.
  • Sprint Race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market.
  • If Alexander Albon set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Oscar Piastri set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification.
  • If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event.
  • Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official Final Qualifying Classification and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position.
  • Sprint Race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market.
  • If Alexander Albon set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.