KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 1.13400 to 1.13599 (65%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 2:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
1.13400 to 1.13599
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
15%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
1.12199 or below1%
1.14800 or above1%
1.13400 to 1.1359965%
1.13600 to 1.1379947%
1.13000 to 1.1319923%
1.14000 to 1.141998%
1.13800 to 1.139995%
1.14200 to 1.143994%
1.13200 to 1.133993%
1.12200 to 1.123990%
1.12600 to 1.127998%
1.12800 to 1.129997%
1.12400 to 1.125990%
1.14400 to 1.145990%
1.14600 to 1.147992%
1.13400 to 1.13599Won
1.13600 to 1.13799Lost
1.12800 to 1.12999Lost
1.14200 to 1.14399Lost
1.13000 to 1.13199Lost
1.13200 to 1.13399Lost
1.12199 or belowLost
1.14800 or aboveLost
1.14000 to 1.14199Lost
1.13800 to 1.13999Lost
1.12200 to 1.12399Lost
1.12600 to 1.12799Lost
1.12400 to 1.12599Lost
1.14400 to 1.14599Lost
1.14600 to 1.14799Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiEuro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 30?
PolymarketWill EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is below 1.12200 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is between 1.12200-1.12399 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is between 1.12400-1.12599 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is between 1.12600-1.12799 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is between 1.12800-1.12999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 30, 2026 is between 1.13000-1.13199 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.