This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 3:49 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 75%
No 75%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35K
Open interest
$20K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 3:45 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
No75%
Yes25%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.