KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tie (45%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 11:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Tie
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 12:08 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityTie 44.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$843.6K
Liquidity
$716.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 27, 26, 3:17 AMAug 10, 26, 9:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Guayaquil City19%
Uni Catolica37%
Tie45%
18.8%
36.6%
44.5%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.3k99.0%KALSHIUni Catolica — Noyesterday
KALSHIUni Catolica — Noyesterday$1.0k99.0%KALSHITie — Yesyesterday
KALSHITie — Yesyesterday$1.4k99.0%KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday
KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday$1.0k99.0%KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday
KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday$2.0k99.0%KALSHITie — Yesyesterday
KALSHITie — Yesyesterday$1.2k99.0%KALSHITie — Yesyesterday
KALSHITie — Yesyesterday$1.7k98.0%KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday
KALSHIGuayaquil City — Noyesterday$1.1k95.0%KALSHIUni Catolica — Noyesterday
KALSHIUni Catolica — NoyesterdayVolume trend
$843.6kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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If Guayaquil City wins the Guayaquil City vs Uni Catolica professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Guayaquil City vs Uni Catolica professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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