KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Conner Leavitt (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 2:51 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Conner Leavitt
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
20%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Guillermo Rodriguez11%
Taylor Hanson39%
Giada De Laurentiis1%
Sarah Jane Nader99%
Tatyana Ali1%
Maura Higgins3%
Jackson Olson3%
Conner Leavitt28%
Amber Glenn3%
Ciara Miller1%
Julia Stiles3%
Sarah Jane NaderLost
Conner LeavittWon
Tatyana AliLost
Giada De LaurentiisLost
Ciara MillerLost
Amber GlennLost
Maura HigginsLost
Julia StilesLost
Jenna DewanLost
Connor WoodLost
Guillermo RodriguezLost
Taylor HansonLost
Tyler CameronLost
Jackson OlsonLost
Harry Shum Jr.Lost
Ezra FrechLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner
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KalshiDancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
PolymarketWho will be officially announced as a competitor on "Dancing with the Stars" (US) before July 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsDancing with the Stars Season 35 · Finalists
KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABC
- How this is resolved The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.
- If the season is canceled without declaring eliminations, the market resolves to No. Payout criteria Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.
- Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.
- Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.