KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Ciara Miller (99%)
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 3:58 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Guillermo Rodriguez8%
Jackson Olson40%
Ciara Miller18%
Tyler Cameron27%
Connor Wood2%
Julia Stiles3%
Maura Higgins1%
Ciara MillerWon
Guillermo RodriguezLost
Jackson OlsonLost
Tyler CameronLost
Tatyana AliLost
Connor WoodLost
Julia StilesLost
Jenna DewanLost
Amber GlennLost
Ezra FrechLost
Maura HigginsLost
Harry Shum Jr.Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Top 3 Finishers
KalshiDancing with the Stars Season 35 · 2nd Place
KalshiDancing with the Stars Season 35 · 3rd Place
KalshiDancing with the Stars S35: Will Jake Shane go on?
KalshiDancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
PolymarketWho will be officially announced as a competitor on "Dancing with the Stars" (US) before July 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABC
- How this is resolved The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.
- If the season is canceled without declaring eliminations, the market resolves to No. Payout criteria Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.
- Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.
- Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.