KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Rory McIlroy (99%)
Resolved: Sep 20, 2026, 8:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Aaron Rai18%
Ryan Gerard35%
Filippo Celli43%
Nacho Elvira19%
Davis Bryant8%
Alex Noren18%
Tom McKibbin14%
Adam Scott41%
Rory McIlroy67%
Manuel Elvira61%
Alex Fitzpatrick6%
Ryan Fox1%
Robert MacIntyre81%
Rory McIlroyWon
Aaron RaiLost
Adam ScottLost
J.J. SpaunLost
Manuel ElviraLost
Nacho ElviraLost
Robert MacIntyreLost
Filippo CelliLost
Ludvig AbergLost
Kristoffer ReitanLost
Johannes VeermanLost
Davis BryantLost
Alex NorenLost
Eugenio Lopez-ChacarraLost
Tom McKibbinLost
Viktor HovlandLost
Joost LuitenLost
Shane LowryLost
Alex FitzpatrickLost
Daniel HillierLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:DP World Tour
- If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate: Prior to teeing off: Market resolves to Fair Market Price After teeing off: Market resolves to No
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
