KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Adam Scott (99%)
Resolved: Sep 20, 2026, 8:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Adam Scott
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
71%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Shane Lowry25%
Davis Bryant19%
Rory McIlroy68%
Ryan Gerard90%
Ross Fisher31%
Viktor Hovland1%
Aaron Rai30%
Thriston Lawrence5%
Nicolai Hojgaard11%
Brooks Koepka5%
Robert MacIntyre99%
Filippo Celli65%
Matt Wallace99%
Adrien Saddier1%
Joakim Lagergren99%
Guido Migliozzi99%
Andy Sullivan99%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat0%
Marcus Armitage0%
Sam Bairstow0%
Dan Bradbury0%
Daniel Brown0%
Rafa Cabrera Bello0%
Jorge Campillo0%
Frankie Capan0%
Todd Clements0%
Ugo Coussaud0%
Jens Dantorp0%
Joe Dean0%
Wenyi Ding0%
Luke Donald0%
Hennie Du Plessis0%
Grant Forrest0%
Daniel Gavins0%
Joel Girrbach0%
Ricardo Gouveia0%
Julien Guerrier0%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy0%
Jordan Gumberg0%
Marcus Helligkilde0%
Angel Hidalgo0%
Calum Hill0%
Charley Hoffman0%
Michael Hollick0%
Rikuya Hoshino0%
Scott Jamieson0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Ryggs Johnston0%
Kota Kaneko0%
Yuto Katsuragawa0%
Marcus Kinhult0%
Jeong-Weon Ko0%
Frederic Lacroix0%
Romain Langasque0%
Pablo Larrazabal0%
David Law0%
Junghwan Lee0%
Niklas Lemke0%
Mikael Lindberg0%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra0%
Matteo Manassero0%
Richard Mansell0%
Adam ScottWon
Ryan FoxLost
Rory McIlroyLost
J.J. SpaunLost
Aaron RaiLost
Filippo CelliLost
Matt FitzpatrickLost
Matt WallaceLost
Manuel ElviraLost
Joakim LagergrenLost
Joost LuitenLost
Guido MigliozziLost
Andy SullivanLost
Robert MacIntyreLost
Alex NorenLost
Ivan Cantero GutierrezLost
Ludvig AbergLost
Alejandro Del ReyLost
Johannes VeermanLost
Joaquin NiemannLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:DP World Tour
- If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate: Prior to teeing off: Market resolves to Fair Market Price After teeing off: Market resolves to No
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