KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Matt Fitzpatrick (91%)
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 8:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 18, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Jon Rahm86%
Alex Noren75%
Matthew Jordan62%
Angel Ayora Fanegas63%
Joe Dean58%
Nacho Elvira99%
Sean Crocker46%
Luke Donald23%
Wenyi Ding32%
Tommy Fleetwood99%
Tyrrell Hatton80%
Ross Fisher46%
Grant Forrest60%
Rafa Cabrera Bello26%
Calum Hill30%
JC Ritchie5%
Thorbjorn Olesen30%
Patrick Reed30%
Marcel Schneider3%
David PuigLost
Alex FitzpatrickLost
Tyrrell HattonLost
Justin RoseLost
Junghwan LeeLost
Ewen FergusonLost
Rory McIlroyLost
Martin CouvraLost
Ross FisherLost
Marcus ArmitageLost
Davis BryantLost
Alejandro Del ReyLost
Ryan FoxLost
Ryan GerardLost
Ricardo GouveiaLost
Marcus HelligkildeLost
Viktor HovlandLost
Matthew JordanLost
Kota KanekoLost
Yuto KatsuragawaLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome has made the cut at the 2026 BMW PGA Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate: Prior to teeing off: Market resolves to Fair Market Value After teeing off: Market resolves to No
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