KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: magic (87%)
Resolved: Sep 10, 2026, 9:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
magic
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
magic 91.6%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$44K
Liquidity
$28.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 9, 26, 4:05 PM UTCSep 12, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
PARIVISION8%
magic87%
91.6%
8.4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If magic wins map 1 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2026: magic vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to map 1 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2026: magic vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant map is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in the map, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for magic vs. PARIVISION: Map 1?
- Kalshi prices magic at 92% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does magic vs. PARIVISION: Map 1 resolve?
- magic vs. PARIVISION: Map 1 is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is magic vs. PARIVISION: Map 1 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If magic wins map 1 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2026: magic vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.