Current implied probability
Magnus Carlsen 45%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$301
Liquidity
$301
Low liquidityBid / Ask
43.0% / 50.0%
Spread
16.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 5:00 PMAug 23, 26, 2:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Magnus Carlsen45%
Volume trend
$301Jul 142d of dataJul 15
Related Markets
Sinquefield Cup Winner
$901Anish Giri: 6%
KALSHI
KALSHIChennai Grand Masters Winner
$0Arjun Erigaisi: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026 Esports World Cup - Chess winner?
$50Magnus Carlsen: 55.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
$1.3MAny Player Ultra Kill: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
$1.1MMatch Winner: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
$902.2KGame 1 Winner: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds stay flat at 50% after Bellingham spotlightBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds lift Mbappé to 34% in 2026 Ballon d’Or marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket World Cup Golden Ball odds flat at 50% as volume tops $6.24MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket keeps Golden Ball odds flat at 50% as Mbappe–Messi buzz growsBlockchain.NewsRules
If Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Esports World Cup Chess Finals chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market refers to the 2026 Esports World Cup Chess Finals originally scheduled from Aug 11, 2026 to Aug 15, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Esports World Cup Chess Finals chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Denis Lazavik wins the 2026 Esports World Cup Chess Finals chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.