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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in July 2026
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in July 2026

FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in July 2026

SportsChessOne-Off1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Magnus Carlsen
Magnus Carlsen 99%
Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$5.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jun 2, 26, 10:00 PMAug 7, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
0%

Selected outcome

Magnus Carlsen99%

Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
  • If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
  • If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the July 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.