KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Palmeiras 61.2%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Palmeiras 61.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50.6
Open interest
$458.1
Low open interestSpread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 12:34 AM UTCOct 11, 26, 12:30 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 0s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Palmeiras wins the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Palmeiras
- If Palmeiras wins the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie
- If Tie is the result of the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bahia
- If Bahia wins the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Palmeiras is 61%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Palmeiras 61% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Br Série A, Palmeiras vs Bahia · Palmeiras 61%
- Also available on Futuur — Palmeiras vs. Bahia · Palmeiras 61%
- Also available on Polymarket — SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia · SE Palmeiras 61%
