Data quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Below $550.00 0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 62.0%
Spread
6.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 4:43 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below $550.000%
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If the price of BNB after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $550.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BNBUSD_RTI price for BNB.
- For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.
- If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes.
- This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops.
- The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time.