KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Daniil Medvedev (70%)
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 1:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Daniil Medvedev
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Adrian Mannarino30%
Daniil Medvedev70%
Daniil MedvedevWon
Adrian MannarinoLost
Rules
If Daniil Medvedev wins set 1 in the Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Daniil Medvedev
- If Daniil Medvedev wins set 1 in the Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adrian Mannarino
- If Adrian Mannarino wins set 1 in the Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
