KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Luka Mikrut (96%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 6:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Luka Mikrut
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Luka Mikrut 99%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.4K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 8:01 PMSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Luka Mikrut96%
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo1%
99%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins set 1 in the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.