KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Carlos Alcaraz (99%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 8:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Carlos Alcaraz
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
85%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Alex Michelsen1%
Carlos Alcaraz84%
Carlos AlcarazWon
Alex MichelsenLost
Rules
If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Michelsen vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Michelsen vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Carlos Alcaraz
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Michelsen vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alex Michelsen
- If Alex Michelsen wins the Michelsen vs Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.