This market resolved: Thiago Agustin Tirante (32%)
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, 12:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Thiago Agustin Tirante
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
69%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Thiago Agustin Tirante
- Recorded
- Jul 16, 2026, 12:27 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityNikoloz Basilashvili 68%+37.0%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$47.2K
Liquidity
$890K
High liquidityBid / Ask
68.0% / 69.0%
Spread
1.5%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 14, 26, 2:05 PMJul 29, 26, 9:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Nikoloz Basilashvili68%
Thiago Agustin Tirante32%
68%
32%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%
KALSHINikoloz Basilashvili — No5h ago
KALSHINikoloz Basilashvili — No5h ago$4.5k99.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$2.0k99.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$11.4k92.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$1.1k94.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$2.0k68.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$2.9k75.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — Yes5h ago$3.0k26.0%KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — No5h ago
KALSHIThiago Agustin Tirante — No5h agoVolume trend
$47.2kJul 143d of dataJul 16
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If Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Basilashvili vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bastad Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Basilashvili vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bastad Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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