Current implied probability
Matteo Arnaldi 23%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$21.2K
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
4.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 4:55 PMJul 30, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Matteo Arnaldi23%
Large trades
$11.5k92.0%
KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes30s ago
KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes30s ago$2.3k92.0%KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes30s ago
KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes30s ago$1.3k24.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes3m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes3m ago$8.8k77.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No4m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No4m ago$1.4k90.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No12m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No12m ago$1.0k85.0%KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes16m ago
KALSHIDamir Dzumhur — Yes16m ago$3.3k72.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No21m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — No21m ago$1.2k34.0%KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes31m ago
KALSHIMatteo Arnaldi — Yes31m agoVolume trend
$21.2kJul 152d of dataJul 16
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If Damir Dzumhur wins the Dzumhur vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Umag Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Dzumhur vs Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Umag Quarterfinal after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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