KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Novak Djokovic -3.5 games (73%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 1:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Novak Djokovic -3.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 12:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Novak Djokovic -3.5 games73%
Novak Djokovic -6.5 games20%
Nuno Borges -1.5 games8%
Novak Djokovic -3.5 gamesWon
Nuno Borges -1.5 gamesLost
Novak Djokovic -6.5 gamesLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the game differential in favor of Novak Djokovic across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Novak Djokovic -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Novak Djokovic across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nuno Borges -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Nuno Borges across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Novak Djokovic -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Novak Djokovic across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
