KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Valentin Vacherot -1.5 games (99%)
Resolved: Oct 30, 2026, 3:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Valentin Vacherot -1.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Holger Rune -1.5 games1%
Valentin Vacherot -1.5 games99%
Holger Rune -4.5 games1%
Valentin Vacherot -1.5 gamesWon
Holger Rune -1.5 gamesLost
Holger Rune -4.5 gamesLost
Rules
If the game differential in favor of Valentin Vacherot across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Basel Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Basel Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Valentin Vacherot -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Valentin Vacherot across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Basel Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Holger Rune -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Holger Rune across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Basel Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Holger Rune -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Holger Rune across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Basel Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.