KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 9:47 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games 54%Leader of 3 outcomes
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games 54%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$132.9K
Open interest
$53.2K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 11:15 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Karen Khachanov -5.5 games0%
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games54%
Denis Shapovalov -1.5 games0%
Karen Khachanov -2.5 games54%
Denis Shapovalov -1.5 games10%
Karen Khachanov -5.5 games1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The following market refers to the Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Karen Khachanov -2.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Karen Khachanov across the full match is above 2.5 games in the Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Denis Shapovalov -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Denis Shapovalov across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Khachanov -5.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Karen Khachanov across the full match is above 5.5 games in the Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
