KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 (54%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 3:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 3:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-054%
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-126%
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-015%
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-118%
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0Won
Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1Lost
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1Lost
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-0Lost
Rules
If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1
- If Daniil Medvedev wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev wins 2-0
- If Daniil Medvedev wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Semifinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.