KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Toby Samuel wins 2-1 (99%)
Resolved: Nov 8, 2026, 3:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Toby Samuel wins 2-1
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 8, 2026, 3:16 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Adrian Mannarino wins 2-11%
Adrian Mannarino wins 2-037%
Toby Samuel wins 2-199%
Toby Samuel wins 2-025%
Toby Samuel wins 2-1Won
Adrian Mannarino wins 2-1Lost
Adrian Mannarino wins 2-0Lost
Toby Samuel wins 2-0Lost
Rules
If Toby Samuel wins the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Toby Samuel wins 2-1
- If Toby Samuel wins the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adrian Mannarino wins 2-1
- If Adrian Mannarino wins the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adrian Mannarino wins 2-0
- If Adrian Mannarino wins the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Toby Samuel wins 2-0
- If Toby Samuel wins the Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Stockholm Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
