KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Tomas Machac wins 2-0 (76%)
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 1:24 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tomas Machac wins 2-0
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Tomas Machac wins 2-076%
Sebastian Baez wins 2-09%
Tomas Machac wins 2-122%
Sebastian Baez wins 2-114%
Tomas Machac wins 2-0Won
Tomas Machac wins 2-1Lost
Sebastian Baez wins 2-1Lost
Sebastian Baez wins 2-0Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Tomas Machac wins the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Tomas Machac wins 2-0
- If Tomas Machac wins the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tomas Machac wins 2-1
- If Tomas Machac wins the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sebastian Baez wins 2-1
- If Sebastian Baez wins the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sebastian Baez wins 2-0
- If Sebastian Baez wins the Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
