KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nick Hardt (99%)
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 11:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Nick Hardt
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Nick Hardt99%
Juan Manuel La Serna1%
Nick HardtWon
Juan Manuel La SernaLost
Rules
If Nick Hardt wins the Hardt vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Hardt vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Nick Hardt
- If Nick Hardt wins the Hardt vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Juan Manuel La Serna
- If Juan Manuel La Serna wins the Hardt vs La Serna professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.