KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Lorenzo Giustino (88%)
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 2:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lorenzo Giustino
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 1:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Michael Vrbensky13%
Lorenzo Giustino88%
Lorenzo GiustinoWon
Michael VrbenskyLost
Rules
If Lorenzo Giustino wins the Giustino vs Vrbensky professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Maia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Giustino vs Vrbensky professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Maia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Lorenzo Giustino
- If Lorenzo Giustino wins the Giustino vs Vrbensky professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Maia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michael Vrbensky
- If Michael Vrbensky wins the Giustino vs Vrbensky professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Maia Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.