KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Over 4.5 goals scored (1%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 11:54 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Over 4.5 goals scored
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Over 4.5 goals scored
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 12:19 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityOver 2.5 goals scored 99%+67.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$204.4K
Liquidity
$129K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 4:05 AMAug 11, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Over 4.5 goals scored1%
Over 2.5 goals scored99%
Over 3.5 goals scored32%
Over 1.5 goals scored62%
Over 0.5 goals scored87%
Over 5.5 goals scored1%
1%
99%
32%
99%
99%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$1.3k35.0%KALSHIOver 4.5 goals scored — No8h ago
KALSHIOver 4.5 goals scored — No8h ago$1.0k97.0%KALSHIOver 3.5 goals scored — No9h ago
KALSHIOver 3.5 goals scored — No9h agoVolume trend
$204.4kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Banfield vs Junin professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
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- If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Banfield vs Junin professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Banfield vs Junin professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Banfield vs Junin professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.