KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Brisbane Lions (21%)
Resolved: Sep 19, 2026, 10:21 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Hawthorn Hawks 80%+36.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$67.3K
Liquidity
$45.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 24.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleSep 13, 26, 4:10 AM UTCOct 3, 26, 7:15 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Brisbane Lions21%
Hawthorn Hawks84%
80%
20%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional AFL game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional AFL game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026.
- If the game ends in a tie, the markets will resolve to 50/50.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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