GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Carolina -1.5 in the 4th quarter 41%
Carolina -1.5 in the 4th quarter 41%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
39.0% / 43.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Carolina -1.5 in the 4th quarter41%
Rules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 4th quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay covers a -6.5 point spread against Carolina during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Tampa Bay and Carolina scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Tampa Bay scores more than 6.5 points more than Carolina during the 4th quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 4th Quarter Spread · Carolina wins by over 1.5 points 40%
