GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Carolina -2.5 in the 1st quarter 42%
Carolina -2.5 in the 1st quarter 42%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
40.0% / 44.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 25, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Carolina -2.5 in the 1st quarter42%
Rules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 1st quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Carolina covers a -2.5 point spread against Tampa Bay during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Tampa Bay and Carolina scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Carolina scores more than 2.5 points more than Tampa Bay during the 1st quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Tampa Bay vs Carolina: 1st Quarter Spread · Carolina wins by over 2.5 points 43%
