Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 2:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Roma 87%Leader of 3 outcomes
Roma 87%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
the named outcome vs Roma
- If Roma wins the UEFA Champions League match between Roma and the named outcome originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
