Current implied probability
Sevilla 41.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Sevilla 41.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$223.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Sevilla vs Getafe
- This market resolves to Yes if Sevilla wins the LaLiga match between Sevilla and Getafe scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Sevilla is 42%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Sevilla 42% · 3 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — LaLiga, Getafe vs Sevilla · Sevilla 42%
- Also available on Kalshi — Getafe vs Sevilla · Sevilla 40%