GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Golden State wins by more than 3.5 points 51.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Golden State wins by more than 3.5 points 51.5%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
51.0% / 55.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 12:30 AM UTCOct 12, 26, 12:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Golden State in the entire NBA game between Sacramento and Golden State scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 7:30 p.m. CT is above 3.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Golden State's score minus Sacramento's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NBA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Spread_Class_98459f6c-7941-4c33-9bc5-7202c53df230.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Sacramento vs Golden State: Spread · Golden State wins by over 1.5 points 63%
